Monday, January 29, 2018

Technical Analysis Of George Kent (Malaysia) Bhd

Just like Superman (Clark Kent), this stock George Kent seems to be soaring high into the sky like it's brother. After going up 30,000 feet, will it continue to move higher?
All indications seem to point to a bullish bias.
A stock that is in an uptrend tends to go higher and higher and higher surprising many people. Anyway, let's take a look at what the charts are telling us.
The chart above is the daily chart of George Kent.
It had been in an uptrend for a very long time. With the stock staying above the rising 200 MA, this stock is in a bullish state for the long term.
If you look carefully at the volume which is below the price, you will see lots of volume spike in this stock. This tells us that the stock is being accumulated by investors. There is lots of buying interest in the stock which is why it keeps going higher and higher and higher.
Volume is extremely important to spot a stock that will shoot up higher. That is why you should pay attention to unusual volume in your stock. Combine it with the fact that a stock is in an uptrend, you will get a recipe for a winning stock.
Recently, the stock broke out of two small ascending triangles in the daily chart.
This gave short term and mid term traders an opportunity to buy and participate in its ride up. Mid term investors should stay bullish on this stock as long as it trades above the daily rising 20 MA and 50 MA.
Next, let us have a look at the weekly chart of George Kent.
The stock has more than met its weekly measured move target. I usually try to take some profits when a stock meet its measured move in the daily chart or even the 60 min chart. But since this stock is in an uptrend, investors can be a bit slow to take profits.
There is no sign of trend change in the daily chart so trend followers and longer term investors should continue to stay bullish on the stock. It is almost impossible to catch the exact top in a stock but some trend following method will help you to capture the majority of a move.
Even in the weekly chart, we can see the presence of a weekly ascending triangle. Some will see it as a break above a weekly box. It does not matter. Those continuation patterns gave long term investors an opportunity to add to the stock.
For those who are holding this stock for the long term, you will need some kind of trend following system to capture the uptrend moves. As long as the stock stays above the rising weekly 20 MA and 50 MA you should be bullish. Be cautious if it starts to drop below any one of them.
Let me now cover the short term picture by looking at the 60 min chart of George Kent.
The last continuation pattern in the 60 min chart was a 60 min box breakout. The stock met its 60 min measured move target and hence the correction. As long as George Kent can stay above this 60 min box, then we can assume that the stock will continue to drift higher.

Friday, September 15, 2017


1. INARI ...monitor for btreakoutof 2.53. TP 2.65 & 2.80

2. LIIHEN...monitor for breakout above 3.46...with increased volume 

3. YONGTAI...EP 1.48 ....TP 1.55

4. CRESBLD...EP 1.10....TP11.20

Our market is still under mild consolidation mode but selective ace & speculative counters should see rotational plays.

Steel theme play has seen most steel counter being pushed up considerably high. cautious of a possible retracement in this sector which badly need a breather though the longer term outlook for metal counters look promising. 

Can also look into rubber counters as rubber price is on the uptrend

Mild Support Tipped For Singapore Shares

The Singapore stock market has finished lower in two straight sessions, dipping almost 15 points or 0.5 percent in that span. The Straits Times Index now rests just above the 3,220-point plateau although it may stop the bleeding on Friday.
The global forecast for the Asian markets is murky, thanks to mixed economic data, geopolitical concerns and a bump in crude oil prices. The European and U.S. markets were mixed and little changed and the Asian bourses figure to follow suit.
The STI finished modestly lower on Thursday following losses from the financials, plantations and industrials.
Among the actives, Singapore Press Holdings surged 1.91 percent, while Yangzijiang Shipbuilding skidded 1.70 percent, CapitaLand Mall Trust tumbled 1.44 percent, Golden Agri-Resources climbed 1.32 percent, Thai Beverage dropped 1.08 percent, Wilmar International shed 0.91 percent, Genting Singapore lost 0.43 percent, Oversea-Chinese Banking Corporation fell 0.18 percent, DBS Group dipped 0.15 percent and SingTel and Hutchison Port Holdings were unchanged.
The lead from Wall Street is unclear as stocks moved in opposite directions on Thursday - eventually finishing mixed, with the Dow hitting a fresh record closing high.
The Dow rose 45.30 points or 0.2 percent to 22,203.48, while the NASDAQ slid 31.10 points or 0.5 percent to 6,429.08 and the S&P 500 fell 2.75 points or 0.1 percent to 2,495.62.
In economic news, the Labor Department noted a bigger than expected increase in consumer prices in August. The faster rate of inflation growth has raised concerns about the outlook for the Federal Reserve's monetary policy.
The Labor Department showed an unexpected pullback in initial jobless claims in the week ended September 9th.
Geopolitical concerns also generated some selling pressure after North Korea threatened to use nuclear weapons to "sink" Japan and reduce the U.S. to "ashes and darkness" for supporting a new round of sanctions by the United Nations.
Crude oil futures briefly surged above $50 a barrel for the first time in a month Thursday, as traders bet on renewed demand from U.S. refineries. October WTI oil gained 59 cents or 1.2 percent to $49.89/bbl, a six-week high.

Thursday, August 17, 2017

BIMB 'buy', YTL 'hold', Johor Tin 'outperform'

Buy (maintained)
Target price: RM5.05
We has kept its “buy” call on BIMB Holdings Bhd with a target price of RM5.05.
The research firm said there was uncertainty regarding the potential corporate re-organisation of its financial holding company structure that could be a key stock overhang for now.
A swift resolution of this could spark a re-rating, it said.
A number of banks in Malaysia such as RHB Bank Bhd, Alliance Financial Group Bhd and Affin Hwang Investment Bank have recently announced corporate exercises that involved the collapsing of their respective financial holding company structure.
“This essentially entails the transferring of the listed entity from the financial holding company to the bank.
“Financial holding companies that have existing financial holding company debts would have to undertake a dilutive rights issue to repay such debts in the process,” the research house said.
In BIMB’s case, the group has an outstanding 10-year sukuk amounting to roughly RM1.2bil, which means it would have to either undertake a one-for-four rights issue or dispose of its stake in Syarikat Takaful to redeem the sukuk at an earlier-than-scheduled date.
Nevertheless, we said BIMB’s share price has priced in the dilution if such an exercise was to be carried out.
“Given the group’s relatively-high holding company fully-loaded CET1 of 12.6%, we believe that it should be sufficient to meet Bank Negara’s minimum capital adequacy ratio requirements for a financial holding company in 2019.
“As such, the group should have no issues maintaining its current financial holding company structure and to gradually pay off its sukuk without having to raise a dilutive rights issue.
“But it should carefully assess whether there is an urgency to carry out such a dilutive exercise that is punitive to shareholders if existing capital base is sufficient to meet Bank Negara’s capital adequacy ratio for financial holding company in 2019,” it said.
On its oil and gas (O&G) exposure, BIMB’s total O&G loans account for 8.7% of its total loans books (RM3.5bil), while sukuk exposure stood at about 2% of its total investment securities portfolio (about RM308mil).
Of the 8.7% O&G loan exposure, nearly 90% were consumer loans (personal and mortgages) to O&G employees in relatively large corporate firms.
Hold (maintained)
Target price: RM1.44
AFFIN Hwang Capital has maintained its “hold” call on YTL Corp Bhd, with a lower target price of RM1.44 from RM1.70 previously.
Despite forecasting an improvement in financial year 2018 (FY18) forecast earnings, Affin Hwang believed the current share price has priced in the earnings growth expectations.
The improvement was mainly due to the forecast low-base effect in FY17.
“We cut forecast dividend payment per share (DPS) to 7 sen in FY17-FY19, following the 30% to 34% cut in our forecasts earnings per share, due to weaker results from the cement operations,” the research house said.
Affin Hwang said there could also be more downside risks if YTL Power lowered its DPS below 10 sen, as a 0.5 sen decline in YTL Power’s DPS would lead to a 0.2 sen reduction in YTL Corp’s DPS.
In the meantime, the house said the cement business remained challenging in FY17 due to overcapacity and weak demand from the property segment.
Although the research house expects a higher demand from infrastructure and property in FY18, it believed the incremental demand is not sufficient to absorb the overcapacity, limiting the upside of recovery in earnings.
“Given that more than 30% of our realisable net asset value (RNAV) is derived from its cement operations, changes in the segment will have a significant impact on our realisable net asset value (RNAV).
Apart from the construction job for the Tanjung Jati “A” power plant project (which Affin Hwang expects YTL Power to achieve financial close by year-end), it also believed that YTL Corp could benefit from rail-related infrastructure projects in Malaysia, given its track record in delivering the Express Rail Link.
“We expect close to RM120bil worth of rail-related contracts will be awarded from the second half of 2017 onwards.
“However, the earnings upside from these contracts are unlikely to compensate for the weaker results overall,” it added.
TargetpPrice: RM1.86
PUBLIC Investment Bank (PublicInvest) has initiated coverage on Johore Tin Bhd (JTB) with an “outperform” call and a target price of RM1.86, implying an upside of 36.8% from its last traded price.
“We like JTB for its growth opportunities in the milk powder segment, increasing food and beverage contributions from potential capacity expansion plans in the sweetened condensed and evaporated milk segments, and growth opportunity in the American continent from new ventures in Mexico as well as healthy balance sheet,” PublicInvest said.
As such, the research house believed that JTB deserved a higher price to reflect its underlying value.
On JTB’s milk powder segment, the management expects utilisation rate of its new milk powder packing factory to increase from 35% in FY17 up to 70% in FY19.
“At the current capacity utilisation of 15%-16%, we estimate this segment currently generates an operating profit of about RM2mil-RM3mil in the first quarter of FY17.
“If it manages to achieve a 75% utilisation, operating profits may grow exponentially to between RM50mil and RM55mil, although this will take a good three to four years to attain.
“We anticipate the addition from the profit of Able Food may potentially double the group’s bottom line (which was just RM35.6mil in FY16),” PublicInvest said.
In the next six to eight months, JTB plans to upgrade its machinery and production lines for the sweetened condensed and evaporated milk businesses.


· Press Metal’s 2Q net profit up slightly to RM150m, declares 1.5 sen dividend
· Dialog posts 33% increase in 4Q net profit on higher JV contributions
· Sunway acquires land in Wangsa Maju for RM51m
· Taliworks 2Q net profit plunges 92% on higher operating costs
· Pharmaniaga’s 2Q net profit down 36% on temporary closure of certain production lines
· Paramount’s 2Q net profit down 39% on lower property segment earnings
· Fed policymakers grow more worried about weak inflation
· As Nafta talks begin, Trump’s ‘America First’ agenda looms large
· US oil drillers keep pressure on OPEC with record shale output
· US housing starts, permits down sharply in July
· China regains spot as largest foreign US creditor
· China's Belt and Road acquisitions surge despite outbound capital crackdown